Friday, April 19, 2024

Spring off to a typical slow start in Montreal

Some trees have responded to the 91mm of rain that have fallen so far in Montreal this April, while others have been slowed by the frequent cloud cover, chilly days and nights. This is typical April weather in Montreal. 
April can be a tricky month across North America, with mother nature having tremendous mood swings. There is no other month more volatile than April. It is a month that features snow and ice storms, thunderstorms, tornadoes, strong winds, wild temperature swings, and the start of wildfire season, often occurring in the same week. 

This is quite simply because there is no other month with such a wide range in temperatures across the continent. While winter holds on across the arctic, mid summer temperatures have entered the picture along the Gulf Coast. When these two air masses collide, action results. We witnessed that last week, with a high of 22C (72F) last Friday in Montreal, followed by plunging temperatures into the single digits on Saturday. 

This week, heavy snow fell in parts of the southern prairies, while severe thunderstorms and tornadoes were occurring across the lower Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. 

More of the same April action can be expected in the coming days. Montreal will be plagued by frequent frontal boundaries pinwheeling across the St. Lawrence Valley. The first produced about 7mm of rain on Thursday, along with chilly temperatures. We will warm up on Friday into the middle teens, before another front late in the day produces more showers along with gusty winds and dropping temperatures. 

The weekend will be cool, windy and unsettled. This trend will persist into next week. A very cool airmass arrives mid-week in southern Quebec, with highs struggling to reach 5C (41F), and overnight lows likely at or below freezing with some frost by Wednesday. 

While spring seems to be sputtering here in Montréal, it is nothing abnormal, the good news is that no snow is in our future, and May is just around the corner!

Tuesday, April 09, 2024

Final thoughts on the eclipse - wet week ahead for Montreal

Totality as viewed during the solar eclipse from Valois Bay in Dorval at 3:27PM Monday, April 8. (Valley Weather Photo)

After the brilliant warm sunshine of Monday and Tuesday, we have a rather stormy pattern on the way to end the work week. Low pressure will move north into the Great Lakes Wednesday, pushing a mild and humid airmass into southern Quebec. Showers and isolated thunderstorms will develop overnight along a warm front lifting into Montreal, gradually tapering off Wednesday. Another surge of moisture arrives Thursday into the early part of the weekend, with some moderate rain expected for the city. 

In all 20-40mm of rain is quite possible between tonight and Saturday morning. Depending on the breaks in the cloud cover we receive on Wednesday, temperatures may be quite warm. Highs are expected in the 16-20C (60-68F) range across the region Tuesday and Wednesday, before cooling sightly to 12-14C (52F-54F), with the rain Thursday and Friday. 

The eclipse underway over the St. Lawrence River in Dorval on Monday afternoon, accompanied by a spectacular halo. Halos around the sun occur when ice crystals are present in high altitude cirrus clouds. (Valley Weather Photo)

Final thoughts on the Great Eclipse

A few final thoughts on Monday’s full solar eclipse in Montreal. I was left breathless, it was emotionally spectacular to say the very least. The pictures I attempted to take with my iPhone, failed to capture what I was seeing. Others were more successful with their photos, it is certainly not where my strengths lie that is for sure. The event was like one big party in Montreal and all along the path of totality stretching from Mexico to Atlantic Canada.

I went down to Valois Bay along the Lakeshore in Dorval Monday afternoon to get away from the concrete jungle where our office is located. The spot was filled with families and people of all ages, languages and cultures, collectively enjoying the celestial magnitude of the day. 

Just as amazing as the eclipse was the blue and orange hues created during totality. This picture does not do any justice to Mother Natures handy work, the sky was absolutely spectacular. (Valley Weather Photo)

I was moved not only by the eclipse itself but by the conditions, patterns and hues the eclipse created in the lower atmosphere, i.e. the weather. The decline in solar radiation over the duration of the eclipse was notable, causing the temperature to fall from 17C (63F) before the eclipse began at 2:14PM in Montreal, to 14C (56F) by the time of totality. It would later rise back to the daytime high of 18C (65F) at 5pm.

An incredible photo showing the total eclipse in all it's splendor as seen from Knowlton, Quebec. At 3 minutes and 30 seconds, totality in Knowlton was more than double that of Montreal. Knowlton was located closer to the center of the 200 kilometre wide path of totality. (Ben Brousseau) 

Clouds were the main concern on Eclipse Monday. A warm front was lifting slowly across eastern Ontario into extreme southwestern Quebec. In the end, those advancing high altitude cirrus clouds produced some absolutely spectacular halos around the eclipsing sun. The halo was caused by the suns reflection off ice crystals in the clouds. While the clouds did add a veil to the eclipse, they did not lessen it in any way from my vantage point at least. 

I have been watching the skies since I was a child, interested in weather since shortly after I could walk, I must say I have never experienced a more amazing event in my lifetime. It lived up to the hype, and I am so grateful for having had the opportunity to view it. My only complaint was that one minute and thirty seconds of totality in Montreal, was just a little too short, I needed more!

Sunday, April 07, 2024

Eclipse Day Monday!

Above, a partial eclipse taken from Arlington, Virginia in June 2021. The total eclipse in Montreal on Monday, April 8 will be absolutely spectacular, if we can only keep the clouds away. The path of totality will be visible to 43.8 million people across North America. (NASA Photo)
The show starts in Montreal at 2:14PM, reaches totality for 1 minute and 27 seconds in Montreal at 3:27PM, and finally ends at 4:36PM.

Try to take part in the moment. The last full solar eclipse in Montreal was in 1932, with the next total eclipse not occurring until July 2205.

Expect lots of traffic as people move around the region to view the eclipse. School are closed for the day.

There are many viewing events taking place in Montreal, including the main one at Parc Jean Drapeau.

The day millions have been waiting for is finally here, Eclipse Monday. The show will begin in central Mexico before racing across the central United States at 2400 km/h into southern Ontario and Quebec, finally exiting North America via Newfoundland. In all the eclipse will impact over 43.8 million people.

The eclipse will cover a 14,700 kilometre path across the Earth's surface, approximately 200 kilomteres wide. Your location within in the path of totality will determine how long you will be in total darkness. For Montreal, that will be close to one and half minutes, more southeast of the city and less in Laval and points north. Locations along the North Shore, the Laurentians and Ottawa Valley will only be seeing a partial eclipse.

Make certain you have proper eclipse glasses to safely view the celestial event. If not, enjoy the coverage provided by several websites, including NASA's coverage, which begins streaming at 1pm. CLICK HERE

The weather looks variable at best for many in the path of the eclipse across North America. In Montreal and the St. Lawrence Valley, high cirrus clouds will be streaming in ahead of a warm front by 1pm. That cloud will thicken and lower as the day progresses, possibly impacting visibility in Ontario and extreme southwestern Quebec. The hope is that dry air will prevail, and that the cloud cover will be very thin in Montreal between 2-4pm. Some of the best viewing locations anywhere along the path will be across northern New England, the Eastern Townships and New Brunswick.

Enjoy, be safe and remember protect your eyes.

Thursday, April 04, 2024

Spring snowstorm hammers southern Quebec

Heavy wet snow turned spring into a winter wonderland across southern Quebec Thursday morning. Nearly 25cm of snow has fallen in the city since last evening. The storm closed schools, caused numerous accidents and knocked power out to nearly one million hydro customers across Quebec, Ontario, New England and the northeastern US.  (Valley Weather Photo)

A powerful storm, the combination of an upper level low spinning over the Great Lakes and a Nor'Easter over Cape Cod gave Montreal a heavy dose of spring snow. Coming in what has otherwise been an easy winter, 25cm of heavy wet snow fell accompanied by 70km/h wind gusts. The wind and snow knocked power out to over 280,000 Quebec homes and businesses.

The storm started as rain late Wednesday, but as the temperature dropped from a high of 10C (50F) to the freezing point in just a few hours, the rain turned to snow. There was even a few rumbles of thunder overnight. More snow fell over the last 24 hours than in the entire month of March in Montreal. Only 17cm fell last month at Trudeau Airport. The snow fell fast, with visibility under 1km for nearly 7 hours in Montreal

The snow was heavy and wet, playing havoc with Hydro-Quebec's power grid on the anniversary of last years significant April ice storm. Over 1000 separate outages affected nearly 300,000 customers at the height of the storm Thursday morning, including 80,000 on the island of Montreal. That number is down to 165,000 as of 3:45 pm.

Numerous school boards decided to cancel classes for the day. There were dozens of accidents during the early morning hours, including a jackknifed tanker truck that forced the closure of the westbound Trans-Canada at Sources for several hours. Many motorist had already removed their snow tire after a record warm March.

With at least 15cm of snow falling today, April 4, a new daily record was established dating back to 1885 when 14cm fell. The storm had far reaching impacts, dumping snow across Ontario, New York and New England. The snow will taper to flurries on Friday, with a slow warming and clearing trend over the weekend. Winds will remain gusty over the next 24 hours. out of the northeast at 30-50km/h.

Wednesday, April 03, 2024

Snowfall warning in effect for Montreal and southern Quebec

April snowstorms are quite common in Montreal, including the photo above taken on April 4, 2015. This is why I encourage drivers to keep their snow tires on through April 15. The upcoming Nor'Easter is set to bring 15-20cm of wet snow to southern Quebec tonight into Thursday. (Photo: Valley Weather) 
Widespread weather warnings are in effect for heavy snow and strong winds across Ontario and Quebec, as a late season winter storm bears down on the region. Low pressure over the Great Lakes will slowly move east, while a second stronger storm develops near the Jersey shore and moves north into Massachusetts. 

Rain will develop Wednesday afternoon in Montreal and change to wet snow late in the evening. The snow will become heavy at times into Thursday. Total storm accumulations will range from near 10cm over the Ottawa Valley, up to 20cm in the greater Montreal region and possibly in excess of 30cm across the higher elevations of the Eastern Townships, northern New England and upstate New York.

Temperatures are very mild Wednesday, at 10C (50F) in Montreal, but will drop quickly late today as the coastal storm develops and becomes the main system. Strong northeast winds will gust as high as 70km/h in the St. Lawrence Valley creating areas of blowing snow overnight and Thursday. Power outages will be possible due to the weight of the snow combined with the strong winds.

Thursday will not be a good day on the roads, with rapidly falling snow and cold daytime temperatures around the freezing point. Conditions will slowly improve Friday as precipitation tapers off to flurries and temperatures warm above freezing.

Snowfall warnings are in place across southwestern Quebec and eastern Ontario, with winter storm warnings across northern New York and New England.

Tuesday, April 02, 2024

Late season winter storm to impact Montreal

Winter may not be over just yet. A strong area of low pressure will move towards southern Quebec and Ontario on Wednesday, producing an area of wet snow and rain. Some upper elevations across the Townships and northern New England/New York have the potential for over 20cm of snow, with perhaps 10cm or more in the valley locations, including Montreal on Thursday.
Special Weather Statement for all off southern Quebec and eastern Ontario. A strong late season winter storm will produce heavy amounts of snow and rain along with strong northeast winds. The storm arrives Wednesday afternoon and persists into Friday. More details will follow as the event draws closer.

For those who managed to hear my Suburban weather minute on CJAD a few weeks ago, I mentioned how common snow events were in the month of April in Montreal. So no one should be too surprised with the upcoming forecast. Winter will not go away easily, it rarely does. 

Tuesday morning is quite frosty across southern Quebec, with below freezing morning temperatures, and some ice fog and mist around Montreal. The day will be sunny and pleasant, with a high near 10C (50F). Enjoy it, the wheels fall off after today.

Strong low pressure over the southern Rockies will deepen as it moves towards the central Great Lakes. Widespread precipitation will move across Ontario and eventually into Quebec. Heavy rain will fall along the lower lakes and St. Lawrence Valley, before transitioning to wet snow late Wednesday into Thursday. A second storm is forecast to develop along the eastern seaboard and become the dominant system Thursday as it meanders into coastal Maine.

That storm will produce cold northeast winds in the St. Lawrence Valley, gusting up to 50km/h and producing colder temperatures. This will allow for the precipitation to remain as wet snow on Thursday. At this time, significant accumulations of 20-30cm are likely over higher elevations, as well as the upper Ottawa Valley, with 10-15cm in southern valley locations, including Montreal. The snow will taper to flurries on Friday. Temperatures will marginally cold enough for snowfall, so these numbers may be adjusted.

The wet nature of the snow may cause power outages and very poor road conditions on Thursday, especially in the Eastern Townships, Ottawa Valley, Adirondacks and Green Mountains.

All locations will have blustery winds and cooler-than-normal temperatures from Thursday into Saturday. Conditions will improve on Sunday and remain that way into Eclipse Monday. Great weather is anticipated at this time for viewing the eclipse in Montreal. 

Sunday, March 31, 2024

Spring snowfall for Montreal?

A full solar eclipse, the first since 1932 in Montreal, will take place on Monday, April 8 at 3:27PM. At this time, partly cloudy skies are forecast, but it is more than a week away. Let's hope that forecast holds. You will need to protect your eyes with special eclipse glasses. Totality will last 1 minute 27 seconds in Montreal. Only a partial eclipse is expected in Laval, Ottawa and points north and east. The South Shore and Eastern Townships will have the longest time in total darkness across southern Quebec, approaching 3 minutes at several locations. (NASA Photo)

Northwest winds have made it feel a little cool this Easter Sunday as it did both Friday and Saturday, when gusts reached as high as 60km/h in Montreal. High temperatures have been close to the normal high of 7C (45F), cooling to near the freezing point for overnight lows. Both mornings started off cloudy, but clearing took place, with abundant sunshine returning by the afternoon hours. The aforementioned winds did make it feel considerably cooler than the actual air temperature.

The upcoming week will start off partly sunny, with high pressure drifting slowly northeast of the region. Temperatures will remain near seasonable values, 10C (50F) for a high Monday and Tuesday, with a low near 0C (32F). That is the good news.

POTENTIAL SNOWFALL

The bad news is we may have some spring snow in our future. A very complex weather scenario will develop mid-week and persist into Friday as low pressure in the upper atmosphere develops over the Great Lakes, with a secondary storm at the surface forming along the Atlantic seaboard and moving into coastal New England. There are many variables at play here, including if the two systems merged, the final track of both storms, and how much cold air there will be available here in the St. Lawrence Valley. The temperatures will just be marginally cold enough for snow, mostly during the overnight hours.

At this time we are looking at a rain snow mix across the region, with heavy amounts of wet snow possible across the higher elevations of the Eastern Townships, northern New York and Vermont. Across the lower elevations, including here in Montreal, a slushy few centimetres is quite possible Wednesday night into Thursday morning and again during the overnight period into Friday. There are still many questions to be answered and this forecast is not by any means set. 

In any event, expect the weather later this week to be cooler than normal, quite windy, and with some form of precipitation. Stay tuned!

SOLAR ECLIPSE

The great solar eclipse takes place on Monday, April 8, covering thousands of kilometres from Mexico to Atlantic Canada. The celestial event will be the first total solar eclipse here in Montreal since 1932. Totality will occur at 3:27 PM in Montreal, lasting approximately one and half minutes. There are events planned across the region, visit espacepourlavie.ca/en/planetarium for full information.

Clear weather on April 8 is critical for getting the full eclipse experience. Unfortunately April is often a very cloudy month in Montréal. The good news, at least as I write this post, is that all the computer models are settling in to an 11 to 30 percent chance of cloudy skies at the time of the eclipse. Let's hope that prediction holds, I will take those odds.

I will post much more information on the eclipse weather this week.